Wednesday, August 12, 2020

The U.S. Presidential Election: A Referendum on Donald Trump’s Character or a Campaign on Law-and-Order?

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The U.S. Presidential Election: A Referendum on Donald Trump’s Character or a Campaign on Law-and-Order?

By Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay

(Author of the books “The Code for Global Ethics

and The New American Empire”)

 

Re: How author Stephen King Predicted Donald Trump's Rise Decades Ago: "The Dead Zone", 1979:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UXfklsKGwBU&feature=youtu.be



Despite blocking President Barak Obama's Supreme Court pick in 2016- arguing that it was a presidential election year- most senate Republicans have said they would fill such a vacancy in 2020, a few weeks before the November election.

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"Never underestimate a man who overestimates himself."

Franklin D. Roosevelt (1882-1945)


 “Nearly all men can stand adversity, but if you want to test a man's character, give him power.”

Abraham Lincoln (1809-1865), 16th President of the United States, 1861-65.

 

We must reject any thinking of our cities as a ‘battlespace’ that our uniformed military is called upon to ‘dominate’. …We must reject and hold accountable those in office who would make a mockery of our Constitution.”

James Mattis (1950- ), American Marine general and former U. S. Secretary of Defense (2017-2019), on June 3, 2020.

 

I have an Article 2 [in the US Constitution] where I have the right to do whatever I want as president.”

Donald Trump (1946- ), statement made during a speech at Turning Point USA’s Teen Action Summit, on July 23, 2019.

 

An autocratic system of coercion, in my opinion, soon degenerates. For force always attracts men of low morality, and I believe it to be an invariable rule that tyrants of genius are succeeded by scoundrels. For this reason I have always been passionately opposed to systems such as we see in Italy and Russia today.

Albert Einstein (1879-1955), German-born theoretical physicist, (in ‘The World as I se it’, London, U.K., 1935).

 

Traditionally, Labor Day marks the last stretch in the U.S. presidential campaign leading to the election this year to be held on November 3rd.

 

On the democratic side, the die is cast. Vice President Joe Biden (1942 -) will be the Democratic presidential candidate for the 2020 election. We know that Mr. Biden was the target of several intensive lobby campaigns, after announcing that he would choose a woman as his running mate. He finally set his sights on the junior senator from California Kamala Harris as his vice presidential candidate. This is an important strategic decision... for better or for worse. She will be the first black woman and the first Asian American on a major party’s presidential ticket.

 

Mr. Biden has decided to please his base in choosing a running mate from California, a state already considered to be in the Democratic fold. In so doing, he has bypassed other candidates who had more administrative and government experience.

 

On the republican side, the incumbent, President Donald Trump, will attempt to stay in power. This will be a challenge considering his low position in the polls.

 

In the United States, presidential elections are not primarily about winning the popular vote. They are about winning an absolute majority of the archaic Electoral College. Otherwise, there would have been a president Al Gore and a president Hillary Clinton!

 

Vice President Biden has been involved in American politics for nearly fifty years. He is a pragmatic and cautious politician.

 

He has served as a U.S. Senator, reelected six times, and for eight years he was vice president of the United States in the Barack Obama administration (2009-2017). Nobody can say that Mr. Biden has no experience in government, or that he is an unknown quantity, for better or for worse.


• All will not necessarily be rosy with a Biden administration

 

First, a Biden administration will be obliged to deal with the massive public debt left behind by the Trump administration. This could put a brake on new public expenses and lead to higher taxes.

 

Secondly, Mr. Biden has been subjected to a lot of pressure to adopt a left-of-center political platform. This was done primarily to rally Senator Bernie Sanders’ supporters. However, it could also be a point of friction with other groups of voters.


Personally, I see two policy areas that could undermine his popularity and his wish to unite the population.

 

Indeed, on foreign policy, a Biden presidency could suffer from Mr. Biden’s unconditional support, in the past, for Israel’s government and its mistreatment of Palestinians. This could intensify U.S. implications in Middle East wars. It may be a sad fact, but both main political parties in the United States are warmongering parties when it comes to foreign policy.

 

On the domestic front, Mr. Biden’s ambivalent position on illegal immigration could also produce a backlash, especially among blue-collar workers in a period of slow economic growth.

 

There are other important issues in his program, which will be outlined in more detail in the coming weeks and which could also raise concern. Especially important for Democrats is the need not to ignore the interests of workers with less or little education.

 

So far, it is only when candidate Biden’s policies will be fully explained and understood that we should see if they fly with the American electorate. Mr. Biden’s main advantage is that he is not Donald Trump, that he is a grown-up and that he doesn’t tweet in the middle of the night to let the world know his feelings.


• Challenges facing the next president


A president-elect must rely on both experience and character to address the serious economic and social crisis facing the country.


This was not the case, however, with candidate Donald Trump in 2016, even though he had previously been the host of a TV reality show, besides being a hotel and casino owner. Some people knew his name, but most had hardly any idea about his autocratic and despotic character and his lack of qualifications to serve in a public capacity. Now, after nearly four years since his election, most Americans have a general idea who he is and what character he has displayed.


It might be useful to review and summarize the main criticisms levied against the character and behavior of Mr. Trump, and to reflect on the type of president he has been.

 

Donald Trump has shown himself to be a provocateur and a man who is after power for power’s sake

 

Ever since his election as U.S. president on Nov. 8, 2016, with fewer votes than his main opponent, Tycoon Donald Trump has shown himself to be a disruptive provocateur and a maker of chaos. He seems to have been on a dangerous ‘power trip, even though he was appallingly unprepared for the job of being president. He has acted as a demagogue and a most reckless leaderEver since his inauguration, Mr. Trump has run a show of successive daily scandals, of blunders, controversies and of scandalous and irresponsible threats. 


His political strategy has been to rely on power politics, and to stir up polarization and divisiveness, setting up one group against another, hoping to profit from the political and social chaos thus created. He has even sent federal agents, dressed in army fatigues, to some American cities, over the objections of the mayors and governors.

 

The anti-science and anti-expertise president

 

It is undisputable that President Donald Trump has been the most openly anti-science and anti-expertise president ever. He has surrounded himself with the least competent people he could find, providing they were “loyal” to his person and ready to kiss his ring. Competent officials were quickly fired when not meeting his autocratic requirement. —A succession of failures has followed on almost every issue.


Trump’s deadly failure of leadership during the coronavirus crisis

 

One example among many: As recently as last February 2020, the coronavirus was spreading widely in many countries. Experts were warning against a possible worldwide pandemic that had the potential to affect millions of people and could have severe economic consequences. It was then expected that millions of Americans could be infected and hundreds of thousands could die.

 

Nevertheless, Mr. Trump was in complete denial that a crisis was looming, and he dismissed the worries raised by experts. He was saying aloud that the coronavirus crisis was a hoaxcreated by Democrats”, (an insane attack reportedly made on the advice of his son-in-law Jared Kushner). Other initiatives made by Kushner also ended up in failure.

 

Especially repugnant are Trump’s pathetic attacks against doctors fighting the pandemic, which has accelerated in the United States because of his incompetence and his deception.


One important flaw in Mr. Trump’s character is to shift blame

 

Donald Trump has often refused to take responsibility in the face of adversity, preferring to shift blame and find scapegoats for his failures and misgivings.

 

For instance, he was insensitive and undiplomatic enough to call the governor of the state of Washington, Jay Inslee, asnakefor requesting more federal assistance to fight one of the worst pandemics that his state has ever faced.

 

Donald Trump’s general character: self–centered, boorish, dangerously delusionary and very un-presidential

 

Many qualified observers, some having worked closely with Mr. Trump, along with some writers and professionals, have evaluated his special character.

 

In books and in other writings, here, here , here, here and here again, they have used many words to qualify the Donald Trump phenomenon in U.S. politics, both as an individual and as a politician. Most of them are not very flattering and some are very scary.

 

Some writers who knew him well were terrified that such a person, known to constantly behave as a ruthless self-promoter, could become president of the United States.

 

Indeed, they have documented his penchant for shock and brawl, for improvising and for smearing anyone who criticizes him. They have documented case after case of his insanity, his wickedness, his delusion, his self-congratulation and self-praise, his self-centered ambition for absolute power and the fact that his policy choices seem to be dictated mainly, if not entirely, by personal interests and electoral considerations. He is known to have used the power of his office to punish political adversaries.

 

Donald Trump's systematic lies and repetitive attacks against the medias


Mr. Trump’s use of lies, fabrications and false claims is well documented and seems to be systematic. Indeed, he has proved again and again that he is a pathological serial liar who cannot help himself from lying. He seems to have an enormous problem with the truth, and he cannot take criticism. That is the sign of an immature person.

 

His habit of demeaning female journalists in misogynistic rants is a very serious character trait. With such a predatory character, it is no wonder that Mr. Trump has been accused, in courts, of rape. There have been numerous other instances of sexual aggression on his part.


Repetitive attacks against journalists, male or female, also pose a serious threat to press freedom and to free speech, in addition to showing a basic lack of good manners.


Mr. Trump has been a factor of chaos and instability


As a politician, Donald Trump contends that he does not have adversaries or opponents. He has, in his own paranoid way, enemies’. In a democracy, calling political opponents ‘enemies’ is the language of dictators and totalitarians. This and his obsession with anything military should raise concerns.


He has shown himself to be provocative, while displaying a manipulative personality. He has enjoyed destroying reputations to advance his personal interests. Some of Trump’s critics have also said that he is egoistical and has a narcissistic personality, and that he has no moral compass.

 

An excessively nationalist politician

 

On many occasions, Donald Trump has literally wrapped himself in the American flag, as if it were his own personal property, and he has said that ‘God is on our side, a political slogan used in Nazi Germany during the 1930s, with the phrase, “Gott mit uns” (God is with us). As a display of deep hypocrisy on his part, the supposedly ‘good Christian’ Donald Trump, often seen carrying a Bible and pictured in a Bible Photo Op, has constantly mocked, slandered, insulted and disparaged his opponents.

 

In fact, the number of persons who have been the targets of profanities and insults by Donald Trump is countless.


As a politician, Donald Trump has been said to be ultranationalist. He is also seen as being less than honest and untrustworthy, besides being a loose cannon and acting in constant conflicts of interest.

 

Trump has done everything to isolate the United States and insult allies


President Donald Trump has attempted to cut the United States off from the rest of the world by unilaterally breaking existing treaties, and by provoking conflicts with other countries and international organizations.

 

For instance, on June 1, 2017, and without consulting anyone, Mr. Trump announced that the United States would unilaterally withdraw from the Paris Agreement on climate change.

 

And, as recently as May 21, 2020, again without consulting with anybody, Donald Trump announced that the U.S. will be withdrawing from the 30-year old Open Skies Arms Control Treaty, which allowed for mutual inspection flights between countries to insure against war preparations.

 

Donald Trump is also preparing to exit the one major arms treaty remaining with Russia: the New START treaty (Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty), signed on April 8, 2010, which limits the number of deployed nuclear missiles, thus raising even more the risk of a nuclear war in the coming years, a war that could destroy the world. Donald Trump is an arsonist, not a fireman or a peacemaker. …And the list goes on and on.

 

Add to that the fact that the Trump administration is engaged in a program to deploy additional nuclear weapons, and the image comes out clearly of a Donald Trump who is an extremely dangerous head of state.

 

The economic and political tensions between the U.S. and China and against Iran or Venezuela are getting worse

 

There are increasing frictions between the U.S. and China. They could be the sparks of a hegemonic conflict.

 

The World Trade Organization (WTO) and the United Nations should play a more active role in solving such conflicts. It must be noted, however, that Mr. Trump has ignored these two international institutions since his election, in order to pursue his ideology of conflict.


British historian Arnold Toynbee observed that the dynamics of international relations have led to disastrous hegemonic wars at the beginning of each of the last six centuries. The last major international war was World War I (1914-1918) at the beginning of the 20th Century, which in turn led to World War II (1939-1945). History could repeat itself, especially if and when unstable individuals, ignorant of history, are leading heavily armed countries.

 

An open conflict between the United States and Iran is also a possibility, because of an active campaign by the Israeli government in that direction. Such a war of aggression could destabilize the Middle East even more. And please, do not forget the Trump administration’s meddling in Venezuela’s domestic affairs. All this is not counting the inhuman and abhorrent sanctions against Syria.

 

It’s almost unanimous: In foreign policy, U.S. President Donald Trump has done a lot of damage, and it will take many years for another administration to fix the mess.

 

Conclusions

 

Unless one is completely blinded by ideology or partisanship, it must be concluded that Donald Trump, with his erratic and deeply flawed character, poses a serious threat to American freedom and prosperity, and to world peace.

 

Having inherited money is no excuse to be vulgar, rude, vile, intolerant and lawless, or to be a malevolent bully. In ordinary times, such behavior should be denounced. —In time of crisis, such shortcomings can be a recipe for disaster.

 

In four years, Donald Trump has done more to destroy the image of the United States and its reputation around the world than a war would have done. —The country is more isolated internationally than it has been for a century.

 

In domestic affairs, the American justice system is in tatters. The “rule of law” has more or less been replaced by the arbitrary “rule of the Donald”. —The law, that’s him! In fact, the U.S. constitutional government has dangerously moved toward a de facto dictatorship. Donald Trump has been subverting the justice system like no president before him. This is clearly an abuse of power.

 

Especially troublesome also, he has fired prosecutors who were investigating people close to him, a clear conflict of interest and a violation of the principle of the division of powers.

 

The country is more divided than it has been in decades. Income and wealth disparities are more pronounced than they have been in a century. And the American health system is an unregulated industry that charges exorbitant prices, and which is failing large segments of the population.

 

And to top it all, there are black clouds over the economy. The latter remains dangerously based on a military-industrial complex that yearly siphons off trillions of dollars of tax money for its benefit. Moreover, much of the funds recently used to bailout the economy from the coronavirus crisis have come from newly printed money.

 

The latter has mostly benefited the very rich, who, in turn, have used it to boost stock prices and to push them up to their pre-crisis top. Down the road, this could translate into a crushing inflation tax, which will badly hurt people such as savers and retirees on a fixed income. However, as this kind of monetary exuberance, financed with the printing press, creates conditions conducive to a financial crash, everyone will ultimately lose out.


Basically, Donald Trump is not an administrator. He had no experience in government. His knowledge of economics is rudimentary. He seems completely ignorant about how the multilateral international trade system works. —Fundamentally, he is a showman who thinks about himself, and only himself. After four years of a freak show in the White House, it would seem that Americans should look for entertainment elsewhere than to their government officials.

 

Hopefully, most Americans seem to have had enough of his eccentricity and his incompetence. Not surprisingly, polls show that most Americans are anxious and unhappy these days. In fact, Pew Research reported, last June, that a huge majority (87%) of Americans said they were dissatisfied with the way things were going in their country.


One would think that a great country like the United States would deserve better. The United States is at an important political turning point. If Donald Trump is reelected next November, U.S. democratic institutions could be challenged as never before, because you can be sure that he will continue playing politics with the U.S. Constitution. His intentions have always been to “rule by decree”.

 

That is why this November’s election should logically be a referendum on candidate Donald Trump and his vacuity. However, Mr. Trump would like nothing more than to wage a law-and-order political campaign, not one that would be centered on his persona and on his record.

 

Question: Will Democratic leaders play his game and side with mob rule? If the answer is yes, and especially if Mr. Biden does not denounce obvious cases of lawlessness, then I suspect that calls for law and order will get louder.

 

With such a scenario, the results of the November 3rd election could be closer than what polls indicate currently, although odds still favor the election of Joe Biden. —That is, if there is an election, because Mr. Trump would like nothing more than to discredit and postpone the election… sine die!

 

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International economist Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay is the author of the book “The Code for Global Ethics, Ten Humanist Principles”, of the book “The New American Empire, and the recent book, in French « La régression tranquille du Québec, 1980-2018 ». He holds a Ph.D. in international finance from Stanford University.

 

Please visit Dr. Tremblay’s site:

http://rodriguetremblay100.blogspot.com/

 


Posted Wednesday, August 12, 2020, at 8:30 am.

 

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___________________________________________________________

© 2020 by Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay

 

 

 

Wednesday, July 8, 2020

Is a Global Demographic Crisis Unavoidable?


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Wednesday, July 8, 2020
Is a Global Demographic Crisis Unavoidable?
By Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay
(Author of the books “The Code for Global Ethics”, and

Throughout history, any profound political and social change was preceded by a philosophical revolution, at least among a significant section of the population.“
M. N. Roy (1887-1954), humanist and political figure from India, 1950.

For social problems, to paraphrase the population doctrine of Thomas Malthus, have the unfortunate tendency to grow at a geometric ratio with the growth of the organism of which they are part, while the ability of man to cope with them, if it can be extended at all, grows only at an arithmetic ratio. —Which means that, if a society grows beyond its optimum size, its problems must eventually outrun the growth of those human faculties, which are necessary for dealing with them.“
Leopold Kohr (1909-1994), Austrian economist and philosopher, 1957.

I am convinced that some political and social activities and practices of the Catholic organizations are detrimental and even dangerous for the community as a whole, here and everywhere. I mention here only the fight against birth control at a time when overpopulation in various countries has become a serious threat to the health of people and a grave obstacle to any attempt to organize peace on this planet.“
Albert Einstein (1879-1955), German-born physicist and professor, 1954.


When I was born, in 1939, the world’s population was around 2,240 million people. Twenty years later, in 1960, the world had a population of almost 3 billion, an increase of a third. At the turn of the century, in 2000, the 6 billion mark had already been crossed, as a result of the world's population having doubled in only 40 years. And by 2020, the Planet was home to 7.8 billion people, and almost a quarter million more people are added to the world every day. This is the reality.

Will human population continue to explode exponentially in the coming years, and if so, will it cause serious transformations and crises? Average estimates and projections by the United Nations Population Division show that the earth's population will reach almost 10 billion in 2050 and exceed 11 billion people in the year 2100. However, these average projections are based on hypotheses of a decline in fertility rates and an increase in life expectancy in many countries. This remains to be verified in fact.

Projections of future population growth are based on uncertain assumptions

The region of the world with the fastest population growth is also the region with the poorest countries, i.e., Africa. Indeed, this continent is expected to have more than half of the world’s population growth by 2050, while population growth will be negative in 55 other countries, notably in several European countries.

The reason is relatively simple: unlike other regions of the world, which have experienced significant declines in their fertility rates, those rates are still very high in Africa. For example, the average fertility rate in sub-Saharan Africa is 5.4 children per woman, compared to the world average of 2.5. Some African Muslim countries even have fertility rates of between 7 and 8 children per woman. (N.B. An index of the fertility rate of 2.1 children per woman is sufficient to replace the population).

Nevertheless, demographic projections are made in assuming that fertility rates overall will continue to decline in the future, under the influence of a greater literacy rate among women and more advances in family planning.

However, if fertility rates do not fall as predicted, and if governments do not get involved in finding solutions, while infant mortality continues to drop dramatically and life expectancy continues to rise, then, what will happen? Well, in the year 2100, there would not be 11 billion inhabitants in the world, as it is now logically expected, but the world population could reach astronomical levels, with figures that could range between 15 and 27 billion people at the end of the present century —that is to say in only 80 years.

• Overpopulation can lead to major transformations and crises

Many major transformations and crises could result from such a demographic explosion.

To begin with, the climate crisis would almost certainly worsen, because it is, in part, linked to human activity, due to the high levels of CO2 in the atmosphere generated by industrial production, thus resulting in a greenhouse effect and global warming. More generally, such overcrowding would likely accentuate the ecological footprint of otherwise required production, and it would bring to the foreground the issue of the carrying capacity of the environment.

Secondly, rivalries and escalating conflicts over resources could intensify, given the shortages already observed, for example in the supply of drinking water. We currently observe several conflicts resulting from the lost of influence of international institutions, which were specifically created to prevent them.

Third, a high level of overcrowding may also hamper progress in the fight against poverty, hunger, and malnutrition in many countries. Similarly, the coverage and quality of health and education systems for a booming population could suffer.

Fourth, more advanced countries, in Europe and in North America, for instance, could feel destabilized by more or less controlled waves of immigration from poor and overcrowded countries, a phenomenon which, in turn, would pose many societal problems. Indeed, a certain number of countries have no choice but to offload their surplus population to other countries with limited capacities to integrate them. More worrisome perhaps are the instances when some leaders even use the surplus population in their countries as a weapon to blackmail other countries and threaten their stability and prosperity.

Fifth, generating economic growth rates high enough to meet the needs of a booming population would pose special challenges to countries and their governments. The economic and financial globalization of the past quarter century has already been questioned because its benefits have not been distributed equitably.
Conclusion

There is a lot of concern nowadays about the climate crisis. Perhaps a strong emphasis should also be placed on the upcoming demographic crisis, since the former is, in part, the result of the latter.

Land and resources on our Planet Earth are not unlimited, despite all the ingenuity that the human mind can deploy to cope with such scarcities.

The juxtaposition of global warming and overpopulation in certain parts of the world will be accompanied by frequent and devastating droughts impacting agriculture, while the disappearance of marine species will reduce the expected yields of commercial fishing.

Rising sea levels will also jeopardize human habitat in areas bordering certain heavily populated regions, which could force the migration of entire populations. This, in turn, could likely cause social and political tensions in many other countries.

All this to say that there is no guarantee that the economic, social and political progress recorded in the world during the last three quarters of a century—through the expansion of international trade and technological innovations—will proceed at the same rate in the future. This is not impossible, but the precautionary principle would require that the world be prepared to solve the great economic and environmental problems to come, or adapt to them.

An important international conference on this issue would be timely and would undoubtedly be very useful in raising awareness among leaders and populations of the challenges to come.
_____________________________________________________
(Please forward:
http://rodriguetremblay100.blogspot.com/)

_____________________________________________________



International economist Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay is the author of the book “The Code for Global Ethics, Ten Humanist Principles”, of the book “The New American Empire, and the recent book, in French 




Please visit Dr. Tremblay’s site:

Posted Wednesday, July 8, 2020, at 8:30 am.

Email to a friend:
http://rodriguetremblay100.blogspot.com/

Send contact, comments or commercial reproduction requests (in English or in French) to:
N.B.: Comments may be published on our weblog, unless you request otherwise.

Please register to receive free alerts on new postings of articles.
Send an email with the word "subscribe" to: carole.jean1@yahoo.ca

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To write to the author:

N.B. For commercial re-use, please write to: carole.jean1@yahoo.ca.
___________________________________________________________
© 2020 by Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay